Turkey Needs NATO More Than Ever to Achieve Its Ambitio
Summary
The text argues that Turkey, under President Erdoğan, exploits its NATO
membership to pursue an aggressive geopolitical agenda, undermining the
interests of the USA, NATO, and the EU. Since joining NATO in 1952, Turkey
has contributed little, instead creating regional tensions, notably through the
1974 Cyprus invasion and threats against Greece’s oil and gas extraction in
the Eastern Mediterranean. Turkey’s actions align with Russia and wealthy
Gulf Arab states, who fund its defense industry and hybrid operations to block
energy extraction, protecting their own economic interests. Turkey facilitates
illegal immigration to destabilize Europe, supports groups like Hamas, and
aims for military dominance and nuclear capabilities by 2030–2035, targeting
Greece, Cyprus, Israel, and the Kurds. The West’s failure to counter Turkey’s
duplicity has strengthened Russia and Gulf states, who profit from reselling
Russian oil. The author proposes that the West support Greece and Cyprus in
extracting resources, push Turkey into conflict with Russia, and dismantle
Turkey to establish a Kurdish state and weaken Russia, warning of a potential
Muslim uprising in Europe reminiscent of Byzantium’s fall.
Paragraphs
1. Turkey’s Exploitation of NATO and Regional Aggression
Turkey leverages NATO to gain defense expertise for future autonomy while
offering little since 1952. It creates tensions with neighbors like Greece and
Cyprus, notably occupying 38% of Cyprus in 1974. Turkey’s friendly ties with
Russia and opposition to Western interests, particularly in blocking Eastern
Mediterranean energy extraction, reveal its deceptive agenda.
2. Blocking Eastern Mediterranean Energy Extraction
Turkey threatens war to prevent Greece from extracting oil and gas from its
EEZ, even far from Turkish borders, costing the EU €3 trillion due to reliance
on expensive LNG. This aligns with Russia and Gulf states’ interests, who
fear losing energy market control. Turkey’s actions hinder Greece and Cyprus
from supplying affordable energy to the EU.
3. Erdoğan’s Rise and Foreign Support
Erdoğan, backed by Gulf Arab states, rose to power aiming to transform
Turkey into a Muslim state, reducing Kemalist influence. The Arab Spring
allowed Turkey to expand its role in Libya and Syria, serving Gulf interests by
blocking Eastern Mediterranean energy projects. Turkey’s defense industry,
with over 1,000 programs, is funded by Gulf money, an impossible feat
without external support.
4. Hybrid Warfare and Immigration Strategy
Turkey orchestrates illegal immigration to Europe, increasing crime and social
unrest, with a 500% rise in migrant flows to Malta, Italy, and Greece post-
Libya intervention. Mostly fighting-age men, these migrants strain EU security.
Turkey misuses EU funds for its defense industry and hybrid operations,
supported by Russia and Gulf states.
5. Russia and Gulf States’ Collaboration
Russia supports Turkey to counter Western interests, notably through S-400
purchases and nuclear plant ambitions. Gulf states, avoiding sanctions on
Russia, fund Turkey’s operations, profiting $5 billion in 2024 by reselling
Russian oil. This financial network supports Turkey’s military buildup and
covert activities, aligning with China’s BRICS agenda.
6. Erdoğan’s Long-Term Goals and Western Blindness
Erdoğan aims for Turkey to dominate by 2030–2035, targeting Israel, Greece,
Cyprus, and the Kurds, with plans for nuclear weapons. The West’s failure to
recognize Turkey’s double game, alongside misjudging Russia and China,
has emboldened Turkey. The 2016 failed coup, supported by Russia,
exposed Erdoğan’s anti-Western stance.
7. Proposed Western Response and Future Conflict
The West should back Greece and Cyprus to extract Eastern Mediterranean
resources, protected by Greece’s military, to reduce EU energy costs.
Pushing Turkey into war with Russia could lead to its dissolution, a Kurdish
state, and Russia’s weakening, ending the Ukraine conflict. The text warns of
a potential Muslim uprising in Europe, drawing historical parallels to
Byzantium’s fall, and urges action against Turkey, Russia, and Gulf states.
The arrogant Turkey needs NATO more than ever before! It deceives
everyone and everything with its behavior, acquiring expertise through
partnerships to achieve full defense autonomy in the future, while creating
problems for the USA, NATO, and the EU.
What has Turkey contributed to NATO and the USA since joining NATO in
1952? Absolutely nothing! It continuously creates problems and tensions with
neighboring countries, is not opposed to Russia, and maintains friendly
relations with it.
What is Turkey really doing, and how much is it undermining the efforts of the
USA, NATO, and the EU, acting against their interests? Since 1955, it has
been attacking Greece, destroying and expelling the Greek minority from
Constantinople, and attempting to seize parts of Cyprus. The facts are well-
known and led to the occupation of 38% of Cyprus through the war of 1974,
conducted in two phases by Turkey.
It is astonishing that the international community fails to see what is
happening in Turkey and whose interests it serves. Since the discovery of oil
in Greece at the Prinos field in 1973, Turkey has threatened Greece with war
if it dares to extract oil and natural gas from its deposits. Note that Turkey
does not say to Greece: I dispute the EEZ or the maritime borders in the
Aegean, and I don’t want drilling platforms set up there for oil extraction.
Instead, Turkey declares that if Greece proceeds with oil extraction in its EEZ
within the maritime borders with Italy, it will be a cause for war! Does it bother
Turkey if Greece extracts oil and natural gas 1,000 kilometers or more from its
borders?
Nothing is irrational, and it’s time for the truth to come to light!
We must inform the USA about what Turkey stands for and whose interests it
serves. Why does Turkey prevent the extraction of oil and natural gas
deposits from the Eastern Mediterranean? Why is it involved in Libya, Syria,
and maintains relations with Hamas, HTS, ISIS, and other terrorist
organizations? Is Turkey trying to forge an independent foreign policy,
maintaining equal distance from the USA, Russia, China, and the EU, or is it
using them for its own benefit? How much harm has President Erdoğan
caused, and what is he aiming for?
There are many questions about why the EU has not helped Greece and
Cyprus extract their natural gas and oil and direct it to the EU at low prices to
replace Russian natural gas. The high cost of energy in the EU, as they
purchase liquefied natural gas three times more expensively, has cost three
(3) trillion euros! Three trillion euros account for the increased prices of
imported natural gas, the rise in electricity prices, the reduction in industrial
production, the closure of factories, and the increased prices of products. Who
is responsible for all this? Turkey and those who pay it to prevent the
extraction of Eastern Mediterranean deposits.
Why is Turkey against the interests of the USA, NATO, and the EU? Why
does President Erdoğan serve foreign interests?
President Erdoğan began his political career with the support of wealthy Gulf
Arab countries and ran for mayor of Constantinople. With immense financial
backing and an agenda to make Turkey a Muslim country again, limiting the
power of the military and Kemalists, he managed to seize power. He was
fortunate because the Arab Spring began at that time in Libya, Syria,
Lebanon, Egypt, Tunisia, and Algeria. This was an attempt by the USA to
control the governments of these countries and overcome their objections to
the extraction of Eastern Mediterranean deposits.
The wealthy Gulf Arab countries have been funding these governments and
Turkey for decades to prevent the extraction of Eastern Mediterranean
deposits. The rich Gulf Arab states know they would lose 50% of their
revenues if these deposits were extracted. Two actors oppose the extraction
of Eastern Mediterranean deposits: Turkey, which survives on the money of
the wealthy Gulf Arab states and serves their interests, and Russia, which
awaits the end of the war in Ukraine to supply the EU with natural gas. Turkey
serves the interests of both the wealthy Gulf Arab states and Russia!
President Erdoğan exploited the funds from wealthy Arab countries to build a
defense industry in Turkey. Turkey did not just develop defense products in
key sectors but expanded into all areas with 850 official programs and
international partnerships, surpassing 1,000 programs in total! Achieving this
with limited resources for research and technology is inherently impossible! It
is impossible for Turkey to have more defense programs than the EU! The
funding from wealthy Gulf Arab countries for Turkey’s defense industry is
enormous, as they provide significant financial aid because, as mentioned,
Turkey serves their interests.
Russia and President Putin supported Turkey’s President Erdoğan!
After the Arab Spring swept through Muslim countries in the Mediterranean,
one opponent remained to prevent the extraction of deposits from the
Mediterranean, particularly the Eastern Mediterranean: Russia, which had
bases in Syria and began engaging with mercenaries in Libya. Turkey
seemingly intervened in Syria for the interests of the USA, NATO, and the EU.
In reality, however, it served its own interests, those of the extremist groups it
funds, and the war against the Kurds.
The Kurds in Turkey are not a minority but nearly 30% of the population!
Since 1984, clashes with the PKK have cost Turkey $100 billion over 41
years! Turkey uses American warplanes to bomb hundreds of targets within
Turkey and along the borders with Syria and Iraq. It conducts hybrid warfare
and attacks on Kurds in Syria and Iraq with mercenaries.
Here’s the peculiar thing: while Turkey was serving its own interests in Syria
and Libya, it maintained very good relations with Russia, which was
supposedly its adversary! After 2011, Russia found an ally that would prevent
the extraction of oil and natural gas deposits in the Eastern Mediterranean!
Russia and the wealthy Gulf Arab states in OPEC collaborate and assist
Turkey and President Erdoğan to block the extraction of Eastern
Mediterranean deposits.
We will examine Russia’s relations with Turkey and the wealthy Gulf Arab
states. How Russia supports Turkey, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, which do
not participate in sanctions against Russia, and the role of China with BRICS.
Where does Turkey find the money to fund its defense industry and military
and hybrid operations? Where do the wealthy Gulf Arab states find the funds
to finance covert operations and prepare to align with China and join BRICS?
Is it possible that Russia and President Putin, with the invasion of Ukraine and
dozens of sanctions against them, wield such immense power that the USA,
NATO, and the EU can do nothing? While all these are interconnected, why
do think tanks and conferences never mention anything?
Western diplomacy fails to see the obvious.
Many states act against the interests of the West, the USA, NATO, and the
EU, yet pretend otherwise. Other states have chosen to abandon Western
support and align with Russia and China, joining BRICS. States supported by
NATO, the EU, the USA, and the UK turn their backs and create numerous
problems.
President Putin capitalized on President Erdoğan’s rise to power in Turkey to
create problems for the USA, NATO, the EU, and the UK and to prevent the
extraction of Eastern Mediterranean deposits that were set to be extracted in
2015! These deposits would have reduced Russia’s influence and the EU’s
dependence on Russian natural gas, as well as diminished the power of
wealthy Gulf Arab states that raised prices and controlled production through
OPEC, guided by Russia.
Turkey-Erdoğan relations with the West and the USA became highly tense,
and in 2016, a coup attempt was made against Erdoğan in Turkey!
President Erdoğan clashed with the military-Kemalists and aimed to transform
Turkey from a secular to a Muslim country. President Erdoğan and his team
believe that by strengthening Muslim faith, building a robust defense industry,
creating a powerful army (20 commando brigades with permanent personnel),
constructing a large number of warships, and developing its own fighter jets,
Turkey will become strong again and conquer new territories from neighboring
countries. Erdoğan hopes that fanaticized Muslim soldiers will fight to the
death against the infidels! He dreams of conquering Jerusalem, Syria, seizing
Eastern Mediterranean deposits to fund these ambitions, and acquiring
nuclear weapons!
The coup in Turkey failed, and Erdoğan survived because President Putin and
Russia saved him. Immediately afterward, Erdoğan’s true feelings toward
Israel, the West, the EU, and NATO became evident. The crackdown on
Kemalist generals intensified in Turkey, with thousands of military personnel
and civilians imprisoned! Mayors, parliamentary candidates, opposition
leaders, and not just Kurds end up in prisons on flimsy pretexts. Turkey
purchased two S-400 anti-aircraft missile systems directly from Russia, seeks
nuclear power plants from Russia, and Erdoğan declared that their greatest
enemy is Israel.
In Russia, President Putin played his own game in Ukraine, exploiting the
West’s mistakes and inaction.
It is baffling why the West, in the USA and the EU (including the UK in pre-
Brexit times), believed Russia would not react. The same mistake is
repeatedly made with Erdoğan, as well as with underestimating China’s
strength and Russia’s momentum. The West has failed to grasp the double
game of the wealthy Gulf Arab states that want to turn their backs on it. The
greatest threat is not Iran but a punching bag for the West to vent its
frustrations while allowing wealthy Arab states to align with Russia and China
and join BRICS.
All international analysts disagreed with me in 2013 when I said Russia would
fight for the Crimea peninsula, Syria, and Ukraine. Russia would rather lose
thousands of reserve armored vehicles, tanks, and armored units, all set for
recycling by 2030-35. Its air force would shrink to 50-54% by 2030 and below
40% due to exhausted flight hours and minimal bombers. Russia’s navy is in
poor condition and would be at 50% of its ship count by 2035. By fighting,
Russia could gain significant geopolitical and military advantages before
becoming solely a nuclear power.
Russia won, and the West lost, though the war in Ukraine is not over yet.
Eastern Mediterranean oil and gas deposits have not been extracted, and the
Russians, Erdoğan, and the wealthy Gulf Arab states are celebrating! We are
left to analyze why and why Hamas attacked Israel, though the reasons are
numerous.
USA-Turkey Confrontation and Erdoğan’s Deceptive Games
We analyzed how Turkey pretends to be a friend to NATO, the USA, and the
EU while it is not! However, we did not provide all the details about Erdoğan’s
and the deep Turkish state’s plans to undermine the West, using Muslim
illegal immigrants as a seemingly innocent underbelly! This is not about
Greece-Turkey, Cyprus-Turkey, or Israel-Turkey conflicts. We must dispel this
notion, as Turkey wants to appear this way to deceive the West and achieve
its goals, supported by wealthy Gulf Arab states and Russia!
Turkey continuously sends illegal immigrants to Europe through various
means and demands money from the EU, supposedly to host them, while
everyone knows it uses the funds for other purposes. The pressure on Europe
and the border guardian states is immense. The plan to undermine Europe
began earlier, before Erdoğan took power in Turkey. Turkey simply facilitated
immigrants reaching Europe’s borders. This changed with President
Erdoğan’s rise to power.
Turkey advertises in Muslim countries that the EU offers free housing, food,
money, women, and anything else they desire! It transports Muslims to Turkey
with hundreds of its passenger aircraft and directs them to land and sea
borders! The same happens in Libya, where, after Turkey sent mercenaries
and troops, the flow of illegal immigrants to Malta, Italy, and Greece increased
by over 500%! These are not persecuted people fleeing their governments or
civil wars but also criminals of all kinds. 90% of illegal immigrants are men of
fighting age, many of whom have fought in various conflicts.
The rise in illegal immigration to the EU has skyrocketed crime rates, with
over 80% of prison populations, despite lenient measures that release them
for minor thefts. We will see how this affects Europe’s combativeness,
disrupts social cohesion, and how Russia and Muslim countries exploit this for
their interests. Combined with the WOKE AGENDA, the dismantled EU
armies due to the cessation of conscription, and the destruction caused by
misguided policies labeling patriots as fascists.
In 2020, a critical confrontation occurred between Turkey and Greece, which
was a blow against all of Europe. It is wrong to think Turkey is only an enemy
of Greece and Cyprus. Dozens of attempts were made to breach the Evros
fence from Turkey’s side to send thousands of illegal immigrants to Greece
and Europe. Turkey deployed its entire fleet and confronted the Greek Navy
to send thousands of illegal immigrants to Greek islands with fast boats.
Greece defeated Turkey without war, and its navy crushed Turkey’s navy.
Greece protected its borders and the EU’s honor, but Turkey managed to
extract money from the EU for immigration and immediately redirected it
elsewhere—to its defense industry and hybrid warfare operations. After 2020,
with the funds it received, Turkey sent large numbers of soldiers and
mercenaries to Libya and thousands of African illegal immigrants to Italy and
Malta. It signed the Turkey-Libya memorandum and did everything possible to
prevent Mediterranean, especially Eastern Mediterranean, deposit extractions
in collaboration with Russia!
Exploiting all this, Russia did not fear the EU or NATO and invaded Ukraine.
No one could stop it, and they believed sanctions would economically and
militarily collapse Russia. China and India saved Russia by purchasing vast
amounts of natural gas and oil, and countries like Turkey did the same,
helping Russia obtain what it needed from the West through them.
Remarkably, in 2024, the UAE and Saudi Arabia bought $25 billion worth of
Russian oil and resold it, earning over 20% profit! These are official OPEC
figures! With over $5 billion, these two Arab countries conducted numerous
hybrid and covert operations!
The ESTMED Pipeline and Efforts to Cancel It
Israel is a powerful country, unafraid of anyone, yet it could not continue the
ESTMED pipeline construction or proceed with extracting its oil and gas
deposits. Egypt faced similar issues with numerous problems and sabotage.
Who stopped the oil extraction in the Eastern Mediterranean? Turkey, the
wealthy Gulf Arab states, and Russia! Where did Turkey, the UAE, Saudi
Arabia, and Qatar find the funds without reporting them in their budgets? Iran
also supports Russia and China’s interests. As mentioned earlier, they bought
Russian oil and sold it as their own with a 20-25% profit!
Hamas Funding and the Attack on Israel
Hamas is funded and controlled by Turkey, Qatar directly, and indirectly by
wealthy Gulf Arab states. Turkey told Israel not to route the ESTMED pipeline
through Cyprus and Greece but through Syria to Turkey, with Turkey invading
and conquering Syria. When Israel refused, Erdoğan proposed routing the
ESTMED pipeline through the Turkish-occupied part of Cyprus from 1974 to
Turkey. Israel refused again, knowing Turkey aimed to delay Eastern
Mediterranean oil and gas extraction and control the ESTMED gas flow at will.
Discussions occurred regarding extractions in the EEZ between Israel and the
Palestinians, as the Gaza Strip has an EEZ. Hamas demanded 50% of the
revenues from Gaza’s EEZ extractions. Israel responded that the funds are
for all Palestinians, including the West Bank. After thousands of Hamas rocket
attacks on Israel, a period of calm followed. Israel began drilling and setting
up extraction platforms, but everything changed suddenly! Hamas launched a
massive attack on Israel, killing over 1,200 Israelis and taking hundreds
hostage. Simultaneously, hybrid operations with frogmen targeted Israel’s
offshore extraction platforms and underwater pipelines, conducted by
Hamas—but who trained them? Turkey, of course!
Israel became entangled in an endless war with Hamas, forced to halt
extractions and shut down the Leviathan field platforms. Who benefited?
Russia, Turkey, and the wealthy Gulf Arab states, who succeeded in stopping
Eastern Mediterranean extractions. Turkey then used mercenaries and its
armed factions to occupy Syria to control its oil and gas deposits. However, it
failed to conquer them, as Syrian Kurds control them. While Syria was
occupied, Russia’s bases in the region remained untouched!
Turkey’s hybrid operations continue unabated! At Greece’s borders, Turkish
nationals are constantly arrested for transporting hundreds of Turkish-made
pistols and weapon components to Europe! These are given to terrorist cells
and fanatic Muslims awaiting orders to revolt! This forced France and the UK
to support Gaza, fearing widespread uprisings by the tens of millions of
Muslims in their countries. In Cyprus, the same happens with hundreds of
Muslims sent by Turkey through the Green Line from occupied Cyprus!
Agents with ties to MIT, Turkey’s intelligence service, and dozens of weapons
are apprehended! Doesn’t the West, especially the EU and USA, see what
Turkey is doing? It will incite thousands of illegal immigrants in many countries
to achieve its goals, and with all this, Russia benefits! A fragmented Europe
benefits Russia, which cannot be threatened. Russia doesn’t love Turkey; it
seeks to detach it from the West and use it for its interests. That’s why it
allows Turkey to buy oil and grain at very low prices, knowing Turkey exports
much of it as its own with a 25% profit!
It was announced that Israel and Hamas reached a peace agreement, with
Turkey and wealthy Gulf Arab states contributing! Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
revealed that Turkey will participate in the task force overseeing the ceasefire
in Gaza. Thus, after Syria, there will be a Turkish armed presence in Gaza,
enhancing Ankara’s regional geostrategic role. An Ankara that can now
appear—and act—as a “protector” of Palestinians in the broader Muslim
world.
The West’s Interest Is Turkey’s Dissolution
Turkey remains in NATO for protection from Russia and to advance its
interests and ambitions. Yes, Turkey must be dismantled because it is
preparing to build nuclear weapons! Turkey has set two milestones, 2030 and
2035, for its military strength.
With its robust defense industry, by 2030, Turkey will be able to wage a
prolonged war against 1.5++ enemies and defeat them! Turkey’s new enemy
is Israel, with the 1.5+++ doctrine! It aims to confront Israel, the PKK, occupy
northern Syria, eliminate the Kurds there, and attack Greece and Cyprus! This
is Erdoğan’s and Turkey’s long-term plan, culminating in the 2035 doctrine of
2+ wars and possession of numerous nuclear weapons.
The 2+ Doctrine of 2035, Turkey’s Grand Vision
To have a large and powerful defense industry and military strength to defeat
Greece, Israel, the PKK, and occupy all of Cyprus! To confront Russia in a
war, as Russia’s military strength is expected to fall to 40-50% of its current
level by 2035! By 2035, Russia will have only 40% of its warplanes due to
exhausted flight hours and lack of funds to replace them!
The West’s interest is to push Turkey into an immediate war with Russia and
benefit from Turkey’s dissolution, the establishment of a Kurdish state, and
Russia’s massive losses in air force, navy, and airborne forces. Ending the
war in Ukraine will come if Russia and Turkey engage in a war. Russia cannot
sustain a war on two fronts, and this will end its operations in Ukraine.
The West must help Greece extract its oil and gas deposits, along with
Cyprus! Greece will be the guardian and protector of offshore oil and gas
extraction platforms, with a strong air force and a powerful navy! The EU will
benefit from low gas prices and recover economically and militarily. Israel will
benefit economically and have maritime protection from Greece’s strong fleet.
The wealthy Gulf Arab states will lose revenue from gas and oil sales due to
Eastern Mediterranean extractions. They must be punished for turning their
backs on the West and the USA and aligning with Russia, China, and seeking
to join BRICS. A new Arab Spring in the wealthy Gulf Arab states is needed to
bring them to their senses.
The wealthy Gulf Arab states will lose revenue from gas and oil sales due to
Eastern Mediterranean extractions. They must be punished for turning their
backs on the West and the USA and aligning with Russia, China, and seeking
to join BRICS. A new Arab Spring in the wealthy Gulf Arab states is needed to
bring them to their senses.
Many analysts say the next war will be against Muslims! It is certain that at
some point, they will revolt in the countries they have migrated to. The
Byzantine Empire was destroyed this way: Turkish Muslims arrived in Asia
Minor as supposed refugees, and Christian residents gave them jobs,
housing, and food. Then they staged uprisings, killed residents to seize their
fields, homes, daughters for brides, and sons as slaves. They opened city
gates during sieges by Mohammed to conquer and plunder them. Generals
expect the same to happen again in the West and Europe.
The USA, UK, and EU must understand Turkey’s insidious plans, exploiting its
NATO membership to advance its interests. Does Turkey have such immense
power to undermine Europe, incite Muslims, and wage war? Turkey doesn’t
want war with the EU; it will incite Muslims and then say it will calm them but
demand 20 billion euros in money and weapons! It will force the EU to
comply. All this is outlined in Turkey’s future plans, regardless of the politician
in power. The deep Turkish state has charted a policy and executes it
gradually and methodically. The West failed to see China’s five-year plans
and its military and economic rise. The West has failed to grasp Turkey’s
insidious and destructive game against it. If Turkey secures a share of
Eastern Mediterranean deposits by occupying Cyprus, it will allocate
everything to its defense industry, not its people suffering from 33% inflation.
Who funds and supports Turkey against the West’s interests? Russia and the
wealthy Gulf Arab states, and they must be punished for it.
George Dikaios is an electronics-radar engineer, geopolitical, and military
analyst. He writes analyses, improvements for weapon systems, and studies
on weapon systems!